More Storms by Tuesday?

Published on Friday, 08 June 2012 17:14

David Reimer

0 Comments

Well, it has been a long time since we’ve posted on the blog. I’ve been busy with other projects and have really neglected to put out fresh content. That’s my fault!

Anyway, after some summer-time boomers the past few days, we’ve really quieted down this afternoon. Thunderstorm activity is confined to the coastal areas of Southeast Texas and down in the Big Bend region of the state. We should remain quiet for the next few days with summer-like temperatures returning by the weekend. In fact, it looks like West Texas is going to get quite hot by Sunday and Monday.

By Tuesday, there are indications that we may have a chance of thunderstorms return to portions of North Texas along a stalled frontal boundary. Since we’re still five days out from this potential event, predictability is not the highest. I’m already mentioning this potential event because it looks like instability values are going to be quite high, likely in excess of 4,000 joules per kilogram (J/Kg). That means any thunderstorms that develop on Tuesday will have the potential to become severe and the presence of a stalled frontal boundary might help focus development. We’ll see what happens, but I thought I’d go ahead and start talking about it. I’ll post more as necessary.