Archive for August 2nd, 2012
Tropical Storm “Ernesto”
- Published on Thursday, 02 August 2012 21:20
- Jenny Brown
- 0 Comments
While it’s still too early to predict Ernesto‘s eventual landfall, residents along the Texas Gulf Coast should begin to pay attention to this new little guy. It’s never too early to start making some preparations…mainly communicating with family members on what to expect and what needs to be done to prepare…but it’s certainly not panic mode yet. We’ll continue to keep you updated as this system moves towards Texas. ~Jenny
See Text below from the National Hurricane Center regarding Ernesto‘s current position and wind speeds.
AT 500 PM Atlantic Standard Time…(2100 UTC)…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 56.6 WEST. ERNESTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH…35 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK…THE CENTER OF THE STORM SHOULD BE NEAR THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE
THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/H…WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES…185 KM
FROM THE CENTER…MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB…29.71 INCHES.
[caption id="attachment_8563" align="aligncenter" width="595"]
Track Cone for Tropical Storm Ernesto[/caption]
Evening update on Tropical Depression #5
- Published on Thursday, 02 August 2012 04:06
- David Reimer
- 0 Comments
[caption id="attachment_8549" align="aligncenter" width="595"]
8/1/2012 10:50 PM CDT – Tropical Depression #5[/caption]
Tropical Depression #5 has not strengthened this evening and maximum sustained winds remain near 35 MPH according to satellite strength estimations. Infrared imagry, which lets us view clouds during nightfall, shows that TD #5 remains relatively disorganized with little convection around the center of circulation. This is indicative of a weak tropical system. Conditions will remain marginally favorable for slow strengthening over the coming days.
[caption id="attachment_8550" align="aligncenter" width="595"]
8/1/2012 10 PM CDT – Tropical Depression #5 Track[/caption]
Tropical Depression #5 will continue moving west/northwest around 15-20 MPH for the next few days. This system should strengthen into a Tropical Storm (Winds at 39 MPH or higher) by tomorrow and will become Ernesto. As the system continues to move to the northwest into the Caribbean, conditions may become more conducive for strengthening. We’ll tackle that hurdle in a few days, if TD #5 can survive the trek.
Here is the public advisory from the National Hurricane Center.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012 1100 PM AST WED AUG 01 2012 ...DEPRESSION MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.6N 50.6W ABOUT 700 MI...1130 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES...AND DOMINICA * ST. LUCIA * MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.6 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H...AND A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD MOTION AT ABOUT THE SAME FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD BE NEAR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA ON FRIDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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