Archive for August 12th, 2012

Severe Weather Risk later today for North Texas

Published on Sunday, 12 August 2012 11:45

David Reimer

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[caption id="attachment_8590" align="aligncenter" width="595"] 8/12/2012 – Severe Weather Outlook[/caption]

The Storm Prediction Center has issued their standard risk of severe weather for parts of North Texas, generally along and north of Interstate 20 from Eastland, into D/FW, then to Mount Pleasant. This means those living in that risk have a 15 percent chance of experiencing severe weather within 25 miles of their location later this afternoon and evening. Those outside the risk have a lower 5 percent chance of severe weather. The severe weather threats today will be from large hail up to golf ball size and damaging winds in excess of 70 MPH.

Latest model guidance suggests a cluster of thunderstorms may form along a southeastward moving cold front this afternoon in Oklahoma. As we advance towards dinner time, those thunderstorms should approach the Red River and then move into North Texas with a risk of severe weather. In addition, isolated thunderstorms may also form in North Texas ahead of the front. Those could also be strong to severe as we will have plenty of instability. The primary time-frame for severe weather will be from 4 PM to 12 AM. Remember, not everyone will see thunderstorms and not everyone who gets hit by a thunderstorm will experience severe weather. We’ll be here providing updates, so stay tuned!