I wanted to provide a brief late-evening update on the potential and associated timing of any light snow across North Texas for Monday Morning. Right now, weather model guidance continues to suggest that there could be some light snow generally from North and West of Fort Worth up towards Wichita Falls. That’s a fairly poor description but trying to describe exact potential areas is futile and useless at this point. We’re not going to have a good idea of the exact zones at risk of seeing light snow until Sunday. There are so many factors that go into producing winter weather that they often don’t become accurately predictable until we’re within 24 hours of the event. That said, we can give out some information about the potential event.
This graphic comes from a high-resolution version of the North American Model and shows it’s representation of the radar at 6 AM on Monday.
Keep in mind this is only predictable radar and thus you shouldn’t expect the radar to look like this simulation. In fact, this is one of the more aggressive solutions. Many of the other models are showing very light snow with no accumulations. This specific graphic shows somewhat heavier precipitation falling in the form of rain. Like I said, there is no accurate way to predict the exact scenario until we’re within 24 hours.
In summary, I do not expect a significant winter weather event. In all likelihood there will be no snow accumulation as dry air will make it difficult to produce snow at all. Any snow that does reach the ground will be in the form of dry, small flakes and will melt quickly. Even if we did have some sort of heavier snow, the ground is well above freezing and there would be no travel impacts. There is a small probability that we could see a dusting in a localized location, but that is a small chance and wouldn’t be predictable until 12-18 hours before the event begins.