None of this is etched in stone. Consider it etched in a bar of soap for now, but it looks like the rest of December is shaping up to be quite active weather-wise. Several troughs are expected to dip down over the southwestern US and eject northeast over the southern plains. This is a good thing! Troughs are areas of low pressure. Low pressure lets air parcels rise more freely. Happy free air parcels in an environment which encourages storm development means there is an increased chance for rain! But where? And how much? That’s the big question right now.
Our atmosphere here over Texas is lacking in moisture right now. It’s dry as a popcorn toot with dewpoints only in the teens, 20′s and 30′s. That is not expected to change much until later this week ahead of a Pacific cold front. By the looks of the forecast models right now, we do look to have some chance of rain later this week…possibly late Friday night into Saturday. And it looks to be pretty widespread, but mainly for the central and eastern half…and along the coast where the moisture return will be the greatest. There’s also another chance showing up for the middle of next week as yet another system moves through.
Below are a few forecast graphics. Again, these are just a snapshot of what some fancy math thinks our weather will be like at that point. It’s what that etched bar of soap looks like. :>) Here’s to hope and lots of crossed fingers!
American GFS Forecast Model for Friday at Midnight

European (ECMWF) for Next Tuesday the 18th

TSC on Social Media