Another stormy evening is expected, this time focused in the Panhandle of west Texas. The slight risk includes Amarillo, Lubbock, Childress, and surrounding towns. Main threats will be strong winds and large hail, but there is a small tornado threat early on as storms develop north of Amarillo. Eventually, a large complex of storms called a Mesoscale Convective System, or MCS for short, will form and dive south into the state. These systems can produce strong, straight line winds over 70 mph! Timing is depicted below, with the threat coming after midnight.
More scattered storms are expected from Central Texas towards Houston and the coast. Coverage will be less than yesterday but cannot rule out a few strong storms with gusty winds.
Out in the tropics, we have Tropical Storm Erin way out in the Atlantic that poses no threat to the United States anytime soon. Closer to home, our disturbance in the northwest Caribbean is less organized as it gets ready to cross the Yucatan. Will have to wait until it enters the Gulf of Mexico to see what happens. Models are all over the place so this thing could go towards Texas or Louisiana or Mississippi or Mexico.