I think the best word to describe this Texas winter season is bipolar! We go from cold with wintry weather to lots of sunshine and much warmer temperatures. So as this roller coaster ride continues, we all know what comes after the peak of warm weather. Another cold front is on the way, arriving late Sunday and reaching south Texas by Monday morning. There will be a chance for wintry weather but this is not going to be a major winter storm. There is no need to stock up on bread and milk. However if you do, invite us over for breakfast!
NAM Model Temperatures Sunday Afternoon
Notice ahead of the cold front, temperatures soar into the 70s across the Central and South Texas. However, the cold air will already be crossing the Red River and invading the Texas Panhandle.
Now lets talk about the chance for wintry weather. Cold air won’t be the problem but moisture might be. The models are much drier than past events but there is always that chance they are not picking up on light precipitation that will be falling Monday through Tuesday.
Here is my best forecast for different parts of the state. Remember, models can easily change so we will update things as we get closer to Tuesday.
Texas Panhandle: Light snow likely late Monday into Tuesday, 1-3 inches possible. Minimal impact.
North Texas: By Tuesday morning, light snow or sleet is possible with little to no accumulation. There is a good chance the dry air wins and nothing happens.
East Texas: Wintry mix possible northeast of Tyler, otherwise just a chilly rain.
Big Country, Midland, Odessa: Light snow possible Tuesday, accumulations less than an inch. Closer to I-10, would be sleet and freezing rain. Could see travel impacts.
Hill Country, South Central Texas: Sleet or freezing rain will be possible around Austin and points west. Think it stays above freezing in San Antonio. Icy spots could cause some travel problems.
Texas Coast: Just a chilly rain, no wintry weather this time.