Texas Storm Chasers http://www.texasstormchasers.com Sun, 31 Aug 2014 14:04:48 +0000 en-US hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.9.2 Sunday’s Weather Roundup – More Rain For the Gulf Coast – Heating Up Across Panhandle/West TX http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/31/sundays-weather-roundup-more-rain-for-the-gulf-coast-heating-up-across-panhandlewest-tx/ http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/31/sundays-weather-roundup-more-rain-for-the-gulf-coast-heating-up-across-panhandlewest-tx/#comments Sun, 31 Aug 2014 14:04:48 +0000 http://www.texasstormchasers.com/?p=31444 Happy Sunday everyone!  Temps are creeping back up today across much of the panhandle and western Texas.  By the middle of this week, we’ll be feeling like the dog days of summer once again as high pressure builds back in over the state.  The only part of the state that will be cooler will be along the coast where rain is expected to continue impacting the region for at least the next couple of days.  The tropical wave currently crossing the Yucatan has the potential to develop into a tropical storm early this week, but will have little impact on Texas other than to keep tropical moisture in place for south Texas and along the coast. two_atl_2d1 Best rain chances today will be along the coast, mainly from Corpus up towards Beaumont/Port Arthur, with scattered showers and storms expected further inland perhaps as far north as just southeast of the DFW metro area.  Communities in Brazoria and Matagorda counties could pick up another inch of rain today, with Galveston and southern portions of Houston picking up another 1/2 inch or so.  Lesser amounts expected inland due to the scattered nature of storm coverage expected today. Rain today HGX Rain Highs today, getting warmer with upper 90′s and 100′s scattered across the panhandle, west Texas and parts of northwest Texas by this afternoon.  Thankfully, with September just around the corner, we should start seeing these daytime highs dropping off…especially by the end of the month.  I don’t know about y’all, but I’m ready for fall!  That’s it for this morning’s roundup.  We’ll keep an eye on radar and post updates when needed.  Have a safe and wonderful day! HIghs Lows

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Tropical Mischief heading into the Gulf of Mexico http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/30/tropical-mischief-heading-into-the-gulf-of-mexico/ http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/30/tropical-mischief-heading-into-the-gulf-of-mexico/#comments Sun, 31 Aug 2014 01:44:27 +0000 http://www.texasstormchasers.com/?p=31438 A tropical wave has spent the past week moving across the open Atlantic and is now located in the Northwest Caribbean. Unfavorable wind shear has kept the system disorganized with only a few showers and thunderstorms. This system will move inland across the Yucatan Peninsula tomorrow but will emerge into the southwest Gulf of Mexico (Bay of Campeche) on Monday. While conditions have not favored tropical development of this system so far there are indications that will change as it emerges into the GOM. The National Hurricane Center gives this system a moderate chance of developing into a Tropical Depression/Storm early this upcoming week. Most tropical weather model guidance has Invest 97 spending about two days in the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico before moving inland in Mexico.

It’s worth noting we have not had any tropical systems in the Gulf of Mexico yet this year. The result is above-average sea surface temperatures and ocean heat content which is essentially gasoline to hurricanes. If other factors also support tropical development than the result could be a powerful system. Luckily I don’t think that will be the case for this system as it won’t have too much time over the open water. An upper level ridge will also keep this system moving northwest/west and in all likelihood staying well south of Texas.

two_atl_5d1

2014-08-30_20-20-59

gulfmex.cf

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Saturday’s Weather Roundup – Lots of Rain Along the Gulf Coast http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/30/saturdays-weather-roundup-lots-of-rain-along-the-gulf-coast/ http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/30/saturdays-weather-roundup-lots-of-rain-along-the-gulf-coast/#comments Sat, 30 Aug 2014 15:13:26 +0000 http://www.texasstormchasers.com/?p=31429 Happy Saturday everyone!  Lots of rain showing up on radar along the coast and just off shore, and it’s expected to continue into the late afternoon with some areas picking up an additional 1 to 3 inches of rainfall by this evening.  Flash Flood Watches are in place today for far southeast Texas between Beaumont and Lake Charles.  Definitely not a good day to be down at the shore.  But, the good news is that by Sunday and Monday, the widespread rain chances should be diminishing and conditions will return more towards normal with daily scattered storm development.  Here’s a look at the amount of rain that has fallen along the coast over the past 2 days.

HGX Rainfall 2 days Rainfall South Texas 2 days

image_full1

Best rain chances today for areas other than the coast…across northeast, north central, central and west central as several weak upper level disturbances cross over the region today and impact residual outflow boundaries from yesterday’s storms.  Scattered storm development is likely along and east of the I-35 corridor and also across parts of west central Texas as we get into the peak afternoon heating hours.  Widespread severe is not expected, but similar to yesterday, the main threats will be downburst winds, lightning and isolated heavy rains.  Definitely something you’ll want to be aware of this afternoon if you’re out on area lakes as downburst winds can travel well out ahead of the storms and impact boaters will little warning.  The far northern panhandle also has a chance at seeing some isolated storm move into the area from northeast New Mexico/southeastern CO this evening around sunset, so be on the lookout for that as well.

ttu wrf 3pm

Highs today…really not that bad.  Only a few potential 100 degree readings showing up and that will be across far southwest Texas near the Rio Grande.  Elsewhere low 90′s to mid 90′s and 80′s where there’s significant rain chances.   Overall, not bad!  We’ll keep an eye on radar trends today and update you as necessary!  Have a wonderful and fun weekend!

Highs Lows

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Friday Weather Roundup – Heavy/Flooding Rain Expected for SE TX – Storms Possible NC TX http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/29/friday-weather-roundup-heavyflooding-rain-expected-for-se-tx-storms-possible-nc-tx/ http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/29/friday-weather-roundup-heavyflooding-rain-expected-for-se-tx-storms-possible-nc-tx/#comments Fri, 29 Aug 2014 13:02:09 +0000 http://www.texasstormchasers.com/?p=31420 Good morning and happy Friday!  North central Texas received a nice treat this morning with showers and thunderstorms trekking over the area.  These showers, currently headed east of Dallas, are expected to diminish by 10am or so which will hopefully leave the opportunity for additional rain/storm development later this afternoon.  If we can get some clearing skies and heat up, we will have a decent chance.  If north Texas stays under the influence of moderate to heavy cloud cover, the chances for any afternoon or evening rain and storm development will be significantly decreased.  For southeast and east Texas, especially along the coast, more heavy rain is expected today and into Saturday with flooding a distinct possibility as an additional 1 to 3 inches of rainfall is expected along the coast.  Flash Flood Watches/Advisories have not yet been issued, but may be later as the NWS office there continues to monitor the situation this afternoon. For south Texas, between Corpus and Brownsville, we also have an area of heavy rain along the coast which is expected to linger into the afternoon.  Same as the Houston area, Flash Flood Watches/Advisories have not yet been issued, but is being monitored for possible issuance later today if needed.   Both of these areas have received several inches of rain over the past 24 hours, but because it’s been so dry…especially across south Texas…soils seem to be absorbing the rainfall pretty well so far.

ttu wrf 4pm hgx flooding potential

For the remainder of the state…drying out across much of the panhandle today with only very slight chances of afternoon showers and storms.  Far western Texas, also drying out, with the best chances of rain mainly from west central Texas around Abilene, San Angelo, Junction and over into the Hill Country region.  Highs today, overall down just a bit from yesterday, with highs mainly in the 90′s expected state-wide.  Could have a few spots get close to 100 along the Rio Grande, but not expecting widespread heat issues today.

Highs Lows

We’ll keep an eye on the radar today and post updates for you as needed.  As always, you can follow the storms via our live interactive radar at www.texasstormchasers.com/radar.

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(Panhandle) Severe Storm Warning: Armstrong, Donley Counties till 415PM http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/28/panhandle-severe-storm-warning-armstrong-donley-counties-till-415pm/ http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/28/panhandle-severe-storm-warning-armstrong-donley-counties-till-415pm/#comments Thu, 28 Aug 2014 20:17:56 +0000 http://www.texasstormchasers.com/?p=31417 A severe thunderstorm warning is now in effect until 4:15 PM for eastern Armstrong and Donley counties. Several thunderstorms are in progress across the warned area and are moving northeast at 15 MPH. One storm just north of Clarendon produced hail up to the size of tennis balls about ten minutes ago resulting in a storm chaser loosing his windshield and sunroof. Several other storms are in the area and are also capable of producing damaging hail.

2014-08-28_15-16-57

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
311 PM CDT THU AUG 28 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
EASTERN ARMSTRONG COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS…
DONLEY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS…

* UNTIL 415 PM CDT

* AT 308 PM CDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
HAIL UP TO HEN EGG SIZE…AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GOODNIGHT…OR 11
MILES WEST OF CLARENDON…AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. ANOTHER
STRONG STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CLAUDE…ALSO MOVING
NORTHEAST.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
CLARENDON… CLAUDE… LELIA LAKE…
HOWARDWICK… HEDLEY… GREENBELT LAKE…
GOODNIGHT…

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

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(Panhandle) Severe Storm Warning: Donley, Gray Counties until 3:45 PM http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/28/panhandle-severe-storm-warning-donley-gray-counties-until-345-pm/ http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/28/panhandle-severe-storm-warning-donley-gray-counties-until-345-pm/#comments Thu, 28 Aug 2014 19:47:25 +0000 http://www.texasstormchasers.com/?p=31414 A severe thunderstorm capable of producing ping-pong ball size hail and localized damaging winds over 60 MPH is passing just north of Clarendon and Highway 287 in the Panhandle. With a movement to the northeast at 15 MPH this storm is trying to make it towards Interstate 40 near Alanreed and McLean but I don’t know if that’s going to happen. We’ll have to see if the storm can maintain its intensity for the next 30-45 minutes.

2014-08-28_14-42-50

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
238 PM CDT THU AUG 28 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
NORTHERN DONLEY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS…
SOUTH CENTRAL GRAY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS…

* UNTIL 345 PM CDT

* AT 236 PM CDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL
SIZE HAIL…AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR GREENBELT LAKE…OR 4 MILES NORTH OF CLARENDON…AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
CLARENDON… HOWARDWICK… GREENBELT LAKE…
ALANREED…

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 134 AND 139.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

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Thursday’s Weather Roundup – Rain for Coastal & Panhandle/West TX once again http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/28/thursdays-weather-roundup-rain-for-coastal-panhandlewest-tx-once-again/ http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/28/thursdays-weather-roundup-rain-for-coastal-panhandlewest-tx-once-again/#comments Thu, 28 Aug 2014 13:11:26 +0000 http://www.texasstormchasers.com/?p=31403 Happy Thursday everyone!  Heavy rain this morning right along the coast in and around Galveston may lead to some localized flooding issues early on, especially with more rain on the way that’s just off the coast.  Folks in and around the Houston/Galveston area will want to keep an eye on rain/flood chances this morning and for the next several days with waves of heavy rain expected.  We’ve also got ongoing spotty showers across the southeastern panhandle/northwest Texas with additional development likely this morning and especially later this afternoon and evening.  Today’s synopsis, with regard to rainfall chances, will be across parts of the panhandle, west Texas and into western north Texas overnight.  Chances for soaking rain are also on the increase for coastal areas due to an upper level low that is sitting off the coast south of Corpus at this time.  This area of low pressure will move west and over land today, but will continue to provide a focus for rain development over the next couple of days across coastal areas of southeast and south Texas.  As mentioned yesterday, the overall outlook for rain between now and early Monday will be best across the panhandle/northwest Texas and coastal areas.  Unfortunately not everyone will see rain, but the fact that we have any decent rain chances at this, typically dry, time of year is a good thing.

4pm ttu wrf

 

Precip thru Monday morning.

Highs today…not that bad with 80′s and low 90′s expected across the panhandle and western Texas, with mid to upper 90′s across northern Texas, and temps down near 90 along the coast with the rain and cloud cover expected today.  Over the weekend, temps are expected to be right around normal for this time of year…which is still warm, but better than some of the 100+ readings we’ve had in past years.

Highs Lows

For the weekend, rain chances will continue with scattered to isolated showers expected to linger across a good portion of the state from northern Texas down to the coast.  The graphics below are a reasonably good representation of where rainfall is expected, but don’t get too hung up on exact locations.  By Monday, Labor Day itself, most of the rain should be out of the state with just a few chances for lingering pop up afternoon showers mainly across parts of eastern Texas…so probably not going to have to worry about any picnics and outdoor plans being rained out.  That’s it for this morning’s roundup.  I hope everyone has a great day!

Euro Thurs Eve Euro Friday Eve Euro Saturday Eve

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Say “Howdy” to Invest 98L in the Gulf! http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/27/say-howdy-to-invest-98l-in-the-gulf/ http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/27/say-howdy-to-invest-98l-in-the-gulf/#comments Wed, 27 Aug 2014 17:15:34 +0000 http://www.texasstormchasers.com/?p=31398 Invest 98L continues to show signs of strengthening today as it slowly drifts west towards the lower Texas coast.   Hurricane Hunter aircraft may be deployed later this afternoon to investigate.  While it’s not expected to develop into a tropical storm before making landfall on Thursday, it will bring periods of heavy rain along the coast…and could potentially continue to affect our state’s weather pattern for several days after moving inland.  Stay tuned as we continue to monitor this situation!

Invest 98L 98LModelZoom

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Wednesday’s Weather Roundup – Hot and Dry for Most, Rain Southeast and Panhandle/West http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/27/wednesdays-weather-roundup-hot-and-dry-for-most-rain-southeast-and-panhandlewest/ http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/27/wednesdays-weather-roundup-hot-and-dry-for-most-rain-southeast-and-panhandlewest/#comments Wed, 27 Aug 2014 13:00:12 +0000 http://www.texasstormchasers.com/?p=31390 Happy Wednesday everyone!  Still a hot one, but temps are starting to mellow out just a bit with a few less 100 degree highs showing up on the state-wide forecast grids.  Still muggy and quite warm though, with some 100′s scattered across north central Texas and down into southwest Texas.  Overnight, the most pleasant lows will be found across the panhandle and western portions of the state with warm and muggy 70′s elsewhere.

Highs

Lows

Rain chances continue to be on the uptick for the weekend.  Here’s the latest precipitation accumulation forecast from the Weather Prediction Center.  This is what is expected to fall between now and early Monday morning.  While not everyone across the state will benefit from much rain with this next weather system, we are certainly glad to see so much rain forecasted for parts of the panhandle, and especially northwest Texas in and around Wichita Falls where drought is still at its worst.  I heard on our local news this morning that Wichita Falls will begin cloud seeding again this week.  Their reservoirs are currently running at around 25% of capacity, some lower than that even, so any amount of extra rain they can squeeze out of the atmosphere will be welcomed.

precip between now and monday

Best rain chances today…panhandle and also across coastal areas thanks to a low pressure system currently sitting just off the coast.  This area of low pressure is being monitored by the National Hurricane Center for additional development; however, further development into any sort of tropical system is unlikely.  It’s expected to just meander around along the coast for the next several days bringing daily chances of rain to this area through Saturday.  Some areas may experience flooding issues over the next several days, so if you live in a flood-prone area down there, you’ll want to pay attention to your local forecast sources and keep an eye on water levels.

Rain chances today Coastal Rain

That’s it for this morning’s quick roundup!  We’ll try to get something out later tonight with our thoughts on the more widespread rain chances expected Friday and Saturday once the latest forecast models arrive after 7pm, so be on the lookout for that this evening.

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Tuesday’s Weather Roundup – Showers Again Today for Western/Panhandle and Southeast http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/26/tuesdays-weather-roundup-showers-again-today-for-westernpanhandle-and-southeast/ http://www.texasstormchasers.com/2014/08/26/tuesdays-weather-roundup-showers-again-today-for-westernpanhandle-and-southeast/#comments Tue, 26 Aug 2014 12:52:54 +0000 http://www.texasstormchasers.com/?p=31379 Happy Tuesday everyone!  Still hot, but we still have scattered chances for precip today mainly across the western portions of the state including parts of the panhandle. Southeast Texas also has a chance from an approaching gulf low that’s begun to spread moisture up into the eastern portion of the state.  No Heat Advisories in effect today, which is good, but temps will still climb into the mid to upper 90′s with 100′s expected across parts of southwest Texas and western north Texas.  Chances for rain and increasing cloud cover will keep temps in check for parts of eastern and southeastern Texas by later this afternoon.

Highs Lows

Best rain chances today…portions of the panhandle and western Texas as monsoonal moisture increases a bit today.  Coastal areas also have a chance of pop-up showers along the seabreeze front after noon today.   Parts of southeast, eastern, and possibly even north central Texas also have a chance at seeing some afternoon storms as we get into peak daytime heating.  Not expecting any widespread severe weather this afternoon, but some of the more robust cells could produce strong outflow winds and frequent lightning. All things to keep in mind, especially after school lets out and athletic practice sessions get underway.

4pm Hrrr

FWD Rain Chances Week

Now for a look ahead at later this week and increasing chances for seeing a bit more beneficial rain!  No…not a drought-buster, but definitely better for portions of central and northern Texas that have been missing out on much of the rain over the past several weeks.  As noted on the map above, a low pressure system, currently over Nevada, will drop down across the central US drawing lots of moisture up from the gulf out ahead of it creating rain chances beginning on Friday and into Saturday.  It will also push a weak cold front down into the northern portion of the state which will help drive additional storm development, some possibly severe, on Saturday.  Still too early to get into much detail, but since the forecast models have settled out and have become more consistent, I’ve prepared a few graphics below to demonstrate the potential widespread rain expected Friday and then again on Saturday.   Don’t get too focused on exactly where or how much, just take this as a generalization for now and we’ll have a more detailed forecast out in the next 24 to 48 hours.

Euro Friday at 7pm GFS Friday at 7pm

 

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