Posts Tagged ‘Large Hail’
Increasing threat of Large Hail in Southwestern TX today
- Published on Tuesday, 02 April 2013 12:02
- Jenny Brown
- 3 Comments
The Storm Prediction Center has issued an updated risk outlook with an enhanced possibility for large hail over the red-shaded and hatched area in southwest Texas this afternoon/evening. Development of storms is still expected to begin later this afternoon/early evening in the vicinity of the Big Bend region and progress eastward from there. We will continue to monitor and keep you updated as the storms begin firing this afternoon!
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings – SE Texas
- Published on Sunday, 31 March 2013 15:26
- Jenny Brown
- 16 Comments
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings have been posted for the following counties in southeast Texas in the Houston vicinity until 3:45pm CDT: Northwestern Harris, Hardin, northwestern Liberty, Montgomery and southwestern San Jacinto. Large Hail and damaging winds will be the primary threats with this complex of storms moving southeast at 30mph.
Tornadoes possible on Sunday in Arkansas; Chase Likely!
- Published on Saturday, 10 March 2012 12:55
- David Reimer
- 0 Comments
This graphic comes from the Storm Prediction Center and shows the probability of severe weather occurring within 25 miles of any given point on Sunday. The standard “slight” risk of severe weather includes all areas within the 15% zone (which means a 15% chance of severe weather within 25 miles of a point). With their latest outlook, SPC has introduced an enhanced severe weather probabilities in Arkansas. This zone is identified by the red outline, meaning there is a 30% chance of experiencing severe weather within 25 miles of any given point.
The standard severe weather risk currently includes Northeast Texas with the highest severe weather probabilities in Arkansas. Unlike the severe weather risk a few days ago that was fairly low because of a lack of wind shear, tomorrow’s setup has excellent wind-shear. The primary question right now is how much instability will be in place and where will amounts be the highest. As of now, tomorrow does have the potential to be an active severe weather day. There will be some severe weather risk in Northeast Texas, but the most significant/widespread severe weather will likely be just east of the state line in Arkansas/Louisiana.
Severe Weather Threats on Sunday: Tornadoes, Large Hail, Damaging Winds
Severe Weather Locations: Standard “slight” risk of severe weather in Northeast Texas, Elevated Risk in Arkansas
Severe Weather Timing: 3 PM – 10 PM (Generally a 2 PM – 6 PM timeframe for Northeast Texas)
Chase Status: Chase likely on Sunday – Live Video will be available
Confidence Level: Moderate – Questions remain on how much instability and where those highest amounts will be located.
We’ll have a full forecast discussion later this afternoon. Residents in Northeast Texas, Arkansas, and Northwest Louisiana should have a source to receive weather warnings on Sunday.