9:30pm Update – Panhandle, North, Central and East Texas
- Monday, 14 July 2014 21:35
North/Central/East Texas – Much of the severe weather activity from this afternoon has weakened and moved south of the Dallas/Ft. Worth metro area. This area of light to moderate showers will continue to push south tonight and may bring chances of rain as far south as the northern Hill Country, Waco, Palestine and over into east Texas towards Rusk. Outflow boundaries will continue to provide a focus for additional storm development both ahead of and behind the main area of storms, but the severe threat for this region is pretty much done with for the evening with just moderate to occasionally heavy batches of rain expected into the early morning hours.
Panhandle/West Central Texas – The Storm Prediction Center has placed a portion of the western panhandle under a Slight Risk of severe weather this evening. A cluster of strong storms with 40mph gusts, copious amounts of rain and frequent lightning continues this evening mainly along and east of I-27 between Amarillo and Lubbock. This activity is expected to continue building, maintaining and moving south this evening for the next several hours before finally letting up after midnight or thereabouts. Flash flooding will be an issue, so exercise caution if you’re out driving in this part of the panhandle this evening.
New Tornado Watch Until Midnight
- Sunday, 13 April 2014 17:22
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Tornado Watch for Central, North, Northeast, and portions of East Texas until 12:00 AM. This includes DFW, Waco, Temple, Corsicana, Tyler, Longview, and Texarkana. Isolated thunderstorms have formed ahead of a dryline and currently are about 40-80 miles west of I-35. These storms are moving east at about 40 MPH. While these storms have so far only been marginally strong to severe, they are moving into better wind shear and richer moisture. They could intensify as they approach I-35 with a threat of large hail, damaging winds, and possibly a few tornadoes.
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA
CENTRAL….NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON FROM 515 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE…
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 150 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
WACO TEXAS TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF TEXARKANA ARKANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER…A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BELL BOSQUE
BOWIE BROWN CAMP
CASS CHEROKEE COLLIN
COMANCHE CORYELL DALLAS
DELTA DENTON EASTLAND
ELLIS ERATH FALLS
FANNIN FRANKLIN FREESTONE
GREGG HAMILTON HARRISON
HENDERSON HILL HOOD
HOPKINS HUNT JACK
JOHNSON KAUFMAN LAMAR
LAMPASAS LIMESTONE MARION
MCLENNAN MILLS MORRIS
NAVARRO PALO PINTO PANOLA
PARKER RAINS RED RIVER
ROCKWALL RUSK SHELBY
SMITH SOMERVELL TARRANT
TITUS UPSHUR VAN ZANDT
8:00pm Update – Latest Advisories for Overnight/Tomorrow
- Thursday, 06 February 2014 19:47
Here’s an overview of the latest winter weather Advisories in place across the state. For the Panhandle…Wind Chill Advisories are in effect until 10am tomorrow morning. Dangerous wind chill values of 5 to 15 degrees below zero are expected across the central and eastern panhandle which could quickly lead to frostbite on exposed skin. Dress in layers, wear a hat, gloves, warm socks and boots if you have to head out anywhere early tomorrow morning. For central Texas and the Hill Country region…as mentioned in our previous post, Winter Weather Advisories are in place for the possibility of freezing rain, sleet and a few snow flurries by early tomorrow and lasting into the afternoon hours. The ground is already quite cold, so any precip that falls in areas where the surface temps are at or below 32 degrees will have the tendency to freeze instantly. Only small amounts of ice accumulation are expected overall, but as we all know, even a little bit of ice on the roadways can lead to dangerous driving conditions. Be sure to check local media for area road conditions before heading out tomorrow morning! For North Central Texas…though currently not under any sort of watch or advisory, residents here have a chance at another round of snow flurries tomorrow morning through mid-day. It does not look like it will be as prolific as today’s snowfall, but keep an eye out for updates tomorrow morning. Houston area…you folks also have a slight chance at some freezing drizzle during the late morning/early afternoon time frame. The forecast for this is not certain, but it’s worth a mention considering our two most recent winter events took us all by surprise with the amount of winter mischief they stirred up. As always, we’ll continue to monitor and bring you up to date on the latest developments!
8:00am North Texas Winter Storm Update
- Sunday, 02 February 2014 08:03
Good morning and happy Sunday! Our winter event is unfolding and it’s been an active night with everything from thundersnow to thundersleet with several inches of snow falling overnight around Quanah and Vernon up along Hwy287. This system is now approaching the DFW metro area with reports of heavy sleet beginning to roll in from areas just west and northwest of Ft. Worth. The freezing line is currently running from about Sherman to Denton to Decatur and down to Mineral Wells. We expect this freezing line to continue inching east slowly throughout the morning, potentially bisecting the DFW metro area before noon. As always, north central Texas is right on the cusp of either a cold rain or doom, but here’s the latest thinking for what type of precipitation will fall across this region.
Graphic courtesy of the NWS office in Ft. Worth, TX
Snow will be the most likely precip mode along a line from Sherman to Breckenridge with 2 to 4 inch totals possible. Roads are expected to become hazardous for travel and that includes Hwy 287 between Quanah, Wichita Falls and down towards Decatur. Hwy 82 between Henrietta, TX, Gainesville and Sherman may also become hazardous for travel. Just northwest of DFW, which would include areas such as Sherman, Denton and down towards Mineral Wells, a winter mix is expected with up to 2 inches of sleet and snow accumulation possible. Expect some roadways across this area to become slick by mid-afternoon if not sooner, especially on bridges and overpasses. Further east from Comanche to DFW to Bonham, one tenth of an inch of ice is possible and bridges and overpasses are likely to become slick and hazardous. We’re already seeing reports of a few slick spots along I-30 and Hwy360 in the Arlington area, so be on alert for that! For areas just southeast of DFW, light icing is possible on elevated surfaces, but no major impacts to roadways are expected at this time. Keep in mind this could change on short notice as all it takes is a 1 or 2 degree shift in temperature to make the difference between wintry precip and just cold rain. Also problematic is the fact that it’s Super Bowl weekend. PLEASE check local news or TXDot for the very latest conditions before heading out to any parties!!!
Current Radar as of 7:54am….blue shaded areas indicate snow/winter mix falling.
5:30pm North Texas Winter Storm Update
- Saturday, 01 February 2014 17:31
As indicated earlier this afternoon, the latest forecast model data is coming in colder which means the freezing line will most likely be further south and more wintry precipitation can be expected, especially for northwestern portions of the DFW metro area and west from there. Accumulations are indicated on the graphic above based on our latest data, but keep in mind THIS CAN AND PROBABLY WILL CHANGE BEFORE TOMORROW. North central Texas…especially the DFW area always seems to be right on the line between just yucky cold rain and winter weather doom. What we do know for sure right now is that someone will get sleet and snow, and this will continue to be a forecasting headache until it’s actually here. Rain is expected to begin developing after midnight tonight and spread from southwest to northeast across the region. As temperatures cool to near freezing early Sunday morning, the precipitation will switch over to mainly sleet from west to east. As temperatures continue to drop to at or slightly below freezing by early Sunday afternoon, the precip mode to will change to a mix of sleet and snow.
What I really wanted to stress right now is that due to the nature of this weekend…Super Bowl Weekend…and the fact that many folks around the area travel for Super Bowl parties, decisions will have to be made early in the day tomorrow regarding potential road conditions later in the evening when it’s time to travel back home. All it will take is a 1 or 2 degree shift in temps to make or break the driving conditions across north central Texas. Don’t wait until the last minute tomorrow to decide if it’s worth the risk to get out…especially with other drivers who may have been drinking…and possibly end up in a very bad situation with ice covered roads.
All in all, areas northwest of DFW could be in for several inches of snow on top of sleet by Sunday evening. This includes areas between Seymour and Wichita Falls, Archer City and Vernon. Further east towards Jacksboro, Montague, Decatur and Gainsville, 2-4 inches of snow can be expected on top of 1 inch of ice and sleet. For the immediate metro area, lesser accumulations of ice and sleet with 1/2 to 1 inch of snow possible. As temps are expected to drop into the 20’s Sunday night into Monday morning, whatever falls on Sunday will stick around through Monday morning rush hour and that could have its own set of fun impacts. Again…this is what we know right now…but this could quickly change and become better…or worse. Stay tuned and we’ll have additional updates out later this evening as the latest forecast models begin to roll in between 9pm and 10pm.