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Posts Tagged ‘Oklahoma’

Another stormy day in the Texas Panhandle/West Texas

29 April 2012 David Reimer 0 Comments

Another stormy day is in store for portions of West Texas and the Texas Panhandle. This graphic shows the probability of experiencing severe weather within 25 miles of any given point (such as your house) this afternoon and during the evening hours. The brown colors represent a 5 percent chance while the orange shaded zone represents the main severe weather risk areas, where the standard 15 percent probability has been issued.

Like yesterday, not everyone will be affected by these thunderstorms. A few discrete thunderstorms will form during the early evening and perhaps congeal into a larger complex of thunderstorms. The strongest storms will be capable of producing large hail and perhaps a brief tornado. Strong outflow winds are also possible, especially if storms can organize into a line or complex later tonight.

Video: Large Tornado southwest of Cherokee, Oklahoma

15 April 2012 David Reimer 1 Comment

Texas Storm Chasers’ David Reimer and Jenny Brown filmed multiple tornadoes from a cyclic supercell in extreme northern Oklahoma during the April 14, 2012 Tornado Outbreak that affected Oklahoma, Kansas, and Nebraska. This was one of the first tornadoes produced by the supercell that would go on to produce tornadoes in Southern Kansas and WIchita, Kansas. Be sure to check out the zoomed in shot as the tornado moved over the road with debris clearly visible! This is only a short portion of nearly an hour of tornado footage shot from multiple high definition cameras. All this footage will be included in the Texas Storm Chasers 2012 Storm Footage DVD.

This video is available for immediate media licensing. Please see our media contact page for more information under ‘David Reimer’. 

 

April 13 Severe Weather Outlook

13 April 2012 David Reimer 0 Comments

This graphic shows the overall probability of severe weather occurring within 25 miles of any given point later this afternoon into the evening hours. The teal line identifies locations within the standard risk of severe weather, which means there is a 15% chance of severe weather occurring within 25 miles of any given point (such as your house). The standard severe weather risk includes much of North Texas and extends northeastward into OK/KS/MO. For those wondering, the white dotted line simply means there is a threat for significant severe weather (very large hail). Within the smaller yellow outline across Southern Kansas and Oklahoma, there is an elevated risk of severe weather this afternoon and evening. A 30 percent chance of severe weather within 25 miles exists (such as your house) within this zone. In addition, this is where the tornado threat will be highest today. There is a possibility a portion of the elevated risk will be upgraded to higher severe weather probabilities later today as it becomes more clear exactly where thunderstorms will occur today.

High Risk of Severe Weather (RARE) Issued for Saturday in OK/KS

13 April 2012 David Reimer 8 Comments

This graphic shows the probability of severe weather occurring within 25 miles of any given location on Saturday. Let me first say ignore the scale on the bottom-right part of the image. The color-scale is not properly matched up for some reason. Let me first start off by saying that the highest severe weather risk will be in Oklahoma and Kansas, but a severe weather risk does extend south into Texas on Saturday. Generally speaking, the most significant severe weather risk will stay close to the Red River and from Vernon eastward to Henrietta. That could chance as new data comes in, so be sure to check back.

In terms of Oklahoma and Kansas, the Storm Prediction Center made history this morning by issuing the earliest issuance of a High Risk of Severe Weather in a convective outlook. Normally these high risks are issued within hours of the event, not an entire two days out. In fact, this is only the second time in recorded history that a high risk has been posted two days out and the first one was issued in the afternoon hours (this one was posted in the morning). Within the high risk zone, shown in the teal color, there is a 60 percent chance of severe weather occuring within 25 miles of any given location. Those are the highest probabilities issued in a severe weather outlook. Surrounding that high risk, there is a 45 percent chance of severe weather within 25 miles of any given point. As of the morning outlook, that risk extends from Wichita Falls, Texas northward into much of Oklahoma, Kansas, and into Southern Nebraska. Elevated (red color) and standard (yellow) severe weather probabilities surround those risks.

A significant outbreak of severe weather is expected on Saturday in Kansas and Oklahoma where atmospheric ingredients will be supportive of a tornado outbreak. Due to the expected instability and wind shear values, long-track, violent tornadoes will be possible with the strongest supercells. The Oklahoma City and Wichita Metropolitan Areas are included in this high risk of tornadoes on Saturday. It looks like it will end up being a busy day, with the highest severe weather chances actually occurring after sunset! While the severe weather risk is high, there’s no reason to be scared. Have a way to receive weather warnings and take the proper precautions if you come under a warning. Remember that even large tornadoes are small compared to the size of a county. See this page for severe weather safety tips.

We’ll be chasing Friday and Saturday and will have live streaming chase video running on our live video page. Stay tuned…

**Significant Tornado Outbreak likely on Saturday**

12 April 2012 David Reimer 3 Comments

A high-end, very dangerous, severe weather and tornado outbreak is anticipated on Saturday across Oklahoma, Kansas, and perhaps extreme North Texas. The Storm Prediction Center has already placed much of Oklahoma and Kansas in a SIGNIFICANT Risk of severe weather, shown by the purple color. Within that zone, there is nearly a 1 in 2 chance of experiencing severe weather on Saturday. All indications are suggesting this will be a very significant severe weather event capable of producing long-track, violent tornadoes. I don’t say this to scare anyone, but simply to say you need to be prepared for Saturday. Across North Texas, a cap will limit the overall thunderstorm development. However, any thunderstorm that forms along the dryline on Saturday in North Texas will be capable of producing high-end severe weather including tornadoes. Please take the time now to prepare a severe weather safety plan and have a way to receive weather warnings on Saturday. If you have family or friends in Central Oklahoma and Central/Northeast Kansas, let them know about Saturday’s potential.

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