Good morning and happy Saturday! Still a nice, mild day ahead today…but we’ll have increasing cloud cover throughout the day and chances for some beneficial rain across western parts of the state today and chances for storms returning by tomorrow and into Monday. Let’s start out with a look at the temps expected today! Nice and mild with 70′s across the panhandle and northern Texas, with upper 70′s and 80′s further south along the coast.
Cloud cover will be on the increase from west to east, but that shouldn’t hamper any outdoor activities planned for most. As an upper level low works its way east towards the state today, rain and thundershowers will be on the increase across our western regions. Widespread severe weather is not expected today, but a few of the storms that develop this afternoon, mainly across the Davis mountains and south towards the Rio Grande, could become strong to marginally severe with lightning, small hail and high winds as the main threats. Below are some graphics depicting what the radar might look like at various times this afternoon. As always, keep in mind this is just what a computer thinks will happen, so don’t fixate on the exact location of the reflectivities. However, it should provide a good idea of the best locations for rain through this evening.
Rain across this region is expected to continue overnight and into early tomorrow gradually pushing eastward and out across the Permian Basin and southern rolling plains by early Sunday. The Storm Prediction Center has placed this portion of the state under a risk for severe weather Sunday afternoon and into the evening hours as a few strong to severe storms are possible. Large hail, damaging winds and frequent lightning will the main threats, but an isolated brief tornado cannot be ruled out. David will have additional updates out later today as more model data rolls in!