Good morning and happy Thursday! We’ve almost made it through the work week! Kindof a copy/paste forecast from yesterday as we have another warm and humid day ahead of us. Rain chances look to be a little less than yesterday, but once again they’ll be confined mainly along the upper coastal areas this afternoon along the seabreeze front. Highs today will once again be in the mid 80′s to low 90′s across most of the state with the hottest temps expected across northwest to west central Texas and along the Rio Grande. Lows tonight will be warm once again in the low to mid 70′s except for portions of the northwest panhandle where drier air will allow for additional cooling overnight.
We’re still on target to have a very strong cold front blow through the state on Saturday. Latest medium to short-range forecast models are still a bit in flux on the exact timing of its arrival, but it appears the front will come in slower and stronger than what’s been in the forecast the past few days. So…estimated timing right now would be for the front to enter the northern panhandle around 7pm on Friday, entering northwest Texas by 1am Saturday morning, approaching the DFW metro area by about 7am…then into central Texas sometime around noon. South central and coast areas of the state should see the front arrive late in the day on Saturday and into the overnight hours. At least that’s what it looks like for now, but we’ll continue to keep you updated! Widespread rain and severe weather is not expected with the arrival of the front, but a line of showers and thunderstorms is possible along with some light rain after the passage of the front.
Approximate 1am position of the front early Saturday morning.
Approximate position of the front by 1pm Saturday
In the tropics…latest data from hurricane hunter aircraft has indicated that the area of disturbed weather over the Yucatan Peninsula has reached tropical storm force. They are expected to have an update out shortly regarding the development of tropical storm “Karen”. As you can see on the two graphics posted above, this particular forecast model has her making landfall along the coast of Mississippi. That is certainly not etched in stone, but nearly all the tropical storm tracking models have Karen making landfall somewhere between New Orleans, LA and Panama City, FL. Folks with family or other interests along the coast from Louisiana over to the Florida panhandle will want to continue to monitor Karen’s development and track over the next few days. And we’ll bring you the latest updates as they are released!