



This image is showing base reflectivity out of the Brownsville, TX NEXRAD radar. An area of very heavy thunderstorms was located about 40 miles east of South Padre Island, moving slow progress to the west. This area of convection is producing an unusually significant amount of lightning for a storm with tropical origins. This area of convection likely has winds over 35 MPH. It should begin to impact the Texas coast by 4 PM.
Tropical Storm Don continues to move west, northwest with 50 MPH winds. No significant change in strength is anticipated before landfall later this evening. Isolated tornadoes are possible this evening across deep South Texas.
Here’s the new video discussion on Tropical Storm Don!
Good morning,
We’re going to try something new this morning and see how everybody likes it. For the first time, we’re doing a video briefing. These will not completely replace written discussions, but in this case since it’s 6 AM, we’ll stick it out with the video discussion. Feedback and suggestions are appreciated!
As expected, Invest 90L continued to organize this morning and when the Hurricane Hunters arrived they found a developed low level circulation and enough data to upgrade Invest 90L to Tropical Storm Don, the fourth atlantic tropical system this year. Hurricane Hunters found winds of 40 MPH when they were in the system earlier this afternoon. Since that time, the convection of Tropical Storm Don has degraded. This may be due to the proximity of the system to the Yucatan Peninsula and the late afternoon hours, in which convection in weak systems can falter. The majority of convection right now is located over the Yucatan Peninsula and is being generated by the heat of the afternoon. There is really very little in the way of convection associated with the center of Tropical Storm Don at this point. While this is indicative of a poorly organized tropical system, convection normally increases during the overnight hours. We’ll be monitoring this trend tonight to see if Don fires off more convection. If it does not, then it is possible that Don could weaken back to a Tropical Depression. We’ll continue to watch for that possibility tonight, otherwise lets get down to the latest information on Don.
The only weather story we’ve had in Texas the past few weeks have revolved around the ongoing heat wave and drought. As I’ve been saying for a while now, the only hope we have of any widespread rainfall this summer will be coming from tropical systems. We now have one of those. Invest 90L, a disturbed area of weather in the northeast Caribbean, has been around for a few days now. This disturbance originated east of the Lesser Antilles and has moved through the Caribbean, where strong wind shear prevent any development. Wind shear has lessened over the area. While wind shear is still present, it’s now weak enough that Invest 90L does have the potential for some slow development over the next 24 hours.