Tag Archives: West Texas

Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 11 PM for West Texas/Panhandle

Monday, 17 June 2013 16:02
David Reimer
7 Comments

2056

Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for much of the Texas Panhandle, West Texas, and western portions of North Texas until 11 PM. Thunderstorms underway and currently developing will be capable of producing hail up to the size of golfballs and damaging winds over 60 MPH. As storms merge into a complex later tonight, the threat of straight-line winds exceeding 70 MPH will increase.

. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ANDREWS ARMSTRONG BAILEY
BORDEN BRISCOE CALLAHAN
CARSON CASTRO COCHRAN
CROSBY DALLAM DAWSON
DEAF SMITH DICKENS DONLEY
ECTOR FISHER FLOYD
GAINES GARZA GLASSCOCK
GRAY HALE HALL
HARTLEY HASKELL HOCKLEY
HOWARD HUTCHINSON JONES
KENT KING LAMB
LOVING LUBBOCK LYNN
MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL
MOORE MOTLEY NOLAN
OLDHAM PARMER POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STONEWALL SWISHER
TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON
WINKLER YOAKUM

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN NM NEW MEXICO
WEST/WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE…
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 135
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF TUCUMCARI NEW MEXICO TO 65 MILES SOUTH OF CHILDRESS
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

Severe Watch will be issued soon for West Texas & Panhandle

Monday, 17 June 2013 14:23
David Reimer
0 Comments

mcd1109

A severe thunderstorm watch will be issued shortly for the western counties of the Texas Panhandle and West Texas. Eastern New Mexico will also be included in this watch. Thunderstorms are already underway south of Fort Stockton with additional thunderstorm development underway in eastern New Mexico. Storms will move in an east/southeast motion. The threat of large hail up to the size of baseballs will be the hazard with storms this afternoon, especially. As storms merge into a cluster or squall line later this afternoon into this evening, straight-line winds over 70 MPH will become the main and most widespread hazard. The cluster of storms will spread east/southeast into much of the Panhandle and West Texas, perhaps reaching North Texas later tonight.

0215 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

AREAS AFFECTED…ERN NM / WRN TX PANHANDLE TO THE PERMIAN BASIN

CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH LIKELY

VALID 171915Z – 172045Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE…95 PERCENT

SUMMARY…STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP/INTENSIFY THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING AND MOVE FROM THE HIGHER TERRAIN EWD INTO THE SRN
HIGH PLAINS. AN ATTENDANT LARGE HAIL/SEVERE WIND GUST THREAT WILL
LIKELY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER CORES. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
WILL BE NEEDED OVER ERN NM AND THE TX S PLAINS BY 3-4 PM CDT.

Another Stormy Night Likely

Monday, 17 June 2013 12:06
David Reimer
27 Comments

1654

Sorry for the short post and ‘naked’ graphic, I’m actually typing this up during a break in class.

The Storm Prediction Center has placed all of the Texas Panhandle and West Texas in a severe weather risk again today. We have highlighted an area where we believe severe weather is a higher chance today. This elevated risk zone, shown in red, includes Lubbock, Big Spring, Sweetwater, Spur, and Abilene. Initial thunderstorms will develop in eastern New Mexico before moving into Texas. By the time storms move into Texas, they will likely be in a line or large cluster of storms. The threats today will be hail up to the size of baseballs with straight-line winds exceeding 70 MPH in some locations. A brief tornado is not out of the question, but this is not a day we are particularly concerned with tornadoes. The threat for storms will increase after 5 PM and continue well into the overnight hours.

While not highlighted in the graphic, there is a chance a storm cluster may move east into North Texas after midnight. The storms will be weakening by that point, but they could still be strong. We’ll continue looking at data this afternoon to try and get a better idea on how far east storms will end up tonight.

Broken Record? Another Severe Weather Day

Saturday, 08 June 2013 01:53
David Reimer
6 Comments

0620

 

The Storm Prediction Center has placed much of the Texas Panhandle and West Texas in a risk of severe weather later today. The main risk times look to be between 4 PM and 12 AM. The western edge of the risk runs from Dalhart southwest to Clovis and Tatum, New Mexico. The southern edge of the risk runs north of a Denver City, Lamesa, Aspermont line. Finally, the risk runs east to a Aspermont, Crowell, to Altus (Oklahoma) line. Both Amarillo and Lubbock are included in today’s risk zone.

Today could be another active day for parts of the Panhandle and West Texas. We’ve entered the time of year where we don’t have a strong jet stream aloft, but we have what is called a northwest flow. Under this regime, winds in the mid and upper atmosphere are out of the northwest. This causes any thunderstorm complexes that develop in Colorado or Kansas to move southeast into Texas. This pattern sets us up for nightly mesoscale convective systems (MCS). Early this morning, a complex of thunderstorms was moving south from Hobbs to Lamesa with lighter rain extending up north to Pampa.

The problem with these nightly setups is that they are contingent on an actual storm complex developing across CO/KS. Sometimes this scenario is easy to map while other days confidence is lower. Today is a day where there is a chance of such a storm complex developing, but it will depend on how the afternoon plays out. Individual thunderstorms should develop by late afternoon across the risk area. These storms will be scattered around and won’t impact everyone, but an unstable atmosphere combined with adequate wind shear will allow some of the storms to become supercellar. In their supercellular form, large hail up to the size of golfballs and damaging winds over 60 MPH will be threats. If storms congeal into a MCS (a complex) later this evening, the threat of damaging straight-line winds over 70 MPH along with a secondary threat of large hail and flash flooding will exist. This complex of storms would move south/southeast. Time will tell if and where this complex might develop.

After a two day hiatus, we’re back in the saddle and will be covering today’s event. We’re sorry about missing Friday’s event, but we all needed a down day to catch up on other things and to take a breath. I’m sure everyone can understand the need to get away from things for a day. Anyway, we’re back and will be covering any issues we may have weatherwise.

Severe Storms approaching I-27 in West Texas

Wednesday, 05 June 2013 21:33
David Reimer
0 Comments

0232

A large Severe Thunderstorm Warning has been issued for areas just of a Happy, Plainview, to Levelland line. This line of thunderstorms is moving east at 30 MPH. Baseball size hail, straight-line winds over 70 MPH, and a severe haboob are occurring with this line of storms. Oldon, Littlefield, Fieldton, Whitharral, Halfway, Spade, Sundown, Levelland, and Anton are a few towns included in this warning.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
929 PM CDT WED JUN 5 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
NORTHWESTERN HALE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.
HOCKLEY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.
LAMB COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.
SOUTHEASTERN PARMER COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS.
WESTERN SWISHER COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS.
EXTREME NORTHWESTERN YOAKUM COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.
COCHRAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.
CASTRO COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS.
BAILEY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.

* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT

* AT 925 PM CDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE
HAIL…AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES WEST OF TULIA TO
20 MILES SOUTH OF BLEDSOE…OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES
WEST OF TULIA TO 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF PLAINS…AND MOVING EAST AT
35 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE OLTON…
LITTLEFIELD…FIELDTON…WHITHARRAL…HALFWAY…SPADE…SUNDOWN…
LEVELLAND AND ANTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

LARGE HAIL…DAMAGING WINDS…AND VERY HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM. TAKE COVER IN A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING HAIL…STRONG WINDS
AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. GO INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

National Radar

Rain Totals: Next 7 Days

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