The Storm Prediction Center has issued a fairly large “standard” risk of severe weather for today. The western edge of this risk runs from Quanah south to Snyder, Garden City, to Sheffield. That’s where the western edge of the risk is located. It runs from Oklahoma south to Mexico. The eastern edge of the risk runs along a line from Bonham, Corsicana, Marlin, Austin, San Antonio, to Artesia Wells. Needless to say, this is a very large risk area. Del Rio, San Angelo, Abilene, Wichita Falls, Sherman, the entire D/FW Metroplex, Waco, Killeen, the Austin and San Antonio metros, and Uvalde are a few cities in the risk zone.
While the risk area is large, the risk itself going to be limited by widespread clouds and precipitation today. The strongest storms will be capable of producing half-dollar size hail and 65 MPH winds. However, all storms will be efficient rain producers due to near record high moisture levels for late October. The potential for flash flooding will be the primary hazard by tonight. A Flash Flood Watch has already been issued for Northeast Texas. Even outside that watch zone, localized flooding will be possible, especially in urbanized areas.
Jenny will have more details later this morning in her daily weather roundup. It wouldn’t be a bad idea to have a way to receive weather warnings today. There are several smart-phone apps that act as warning devices.