Good morning and happy Wednesday! Nice weather expected today across much of the state with warming temps and sunny skies. A surface high over southeast Texas will be migrating east and shifting winds around from the southeast/south and southwest by this afternoon. Winds overall will be breezy but lighter lighter than yesterday for most areas, except for the panhandle and rolling plains where winds will blow steady between 15 and 25mph with higher gusts possible. Relative humidity values will also be quite low across this region which will once again lead to critical wildfire conditions. Not the day to burn rubbish or work outdoors with anything that could cause a spark or flame.
No rain is in the forecast until Sunday ahead of a strong cold front that is expected to arrive by Sunday afternoon/evening. The severe weather potential is a bit unclear at this point, but for now, it’s expected that a line of strong to severe thunderstorms will develop along the leading edge of the cold front Sunday afternoon and move southeast across the state Sunday evening and during the overnight hours into Monday. Instability values across northern Texas look to be moderate by Sunday afternoon, which could lead to the development of some severe weather…mainly west and northwest of the DFW Metro. But what so often happens when we’re dealing with a strong cold front, the colder air quickly overtakes and rushes out ahead of the line of storms which undercuts the warm moist inflow of air needed to boost the storms to more severe levels. That typically leaves us with a just a line of strong storms with some lightning, small hail and brief heavy downpours. We will continue to monitor this and keep you up to date as we get closer.
After the cold front on Sunday, the early part of next week looks chilly for Monday…and Tuesday morning may have us dropping back down into the 30′s across northern parts of the state. But then a gradual warming trend begins by next Wednesday. Typical Texas roller coaster weather!