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Tuesday Afternoon Update on Harvey – Flash Flood Emergency for Beaumont

The center of Harvey is located about 65 miles south/southwest of Port Arthur Texas. Forward motion to the north/northeast has accelerated (finally) and is now 8 MPH. Hopefully, we’ll see that increase as we continue into tonight. Landfall is expected along the far Southeast Texas coastline or in Southwest Louisiana tonight – and Harvey will be moving into Lousiana on Wednesday. High winds and coastal flooding are expected through this evening along the Upper Texas Coast as Harvey moves onshore. The heaviest rains have set up this afternoon will be from High Island to Sabine Pass northwest into Beaumont, Orange, and Lumberton. Those west of those locations are now on the west side of Harve’ys circulation – or the ‘clean side’ – meaning lower precipitation rates. I do expect rain to continue through tonight in places like Houston and surrounding communities, but at this point, rainfall rates are simply preventing streams from falling, so they’re mostly staying steady. Unless we see some sort of unexpected intensity increase in the precipitation rate any additional precipitation should not have a substantial impact on any future rises in the Houston Metro. That does not take into account that water is being released from area lakes, so river flooding and bayou flooding will likely continue for several more days. An additional 4 to 10 inches of rain is expected in places like Beaumont and Far Southeast Texas through tonight – a flash flood emergency with major flooding! Most news is focused on Houston, but we have life-threatening flooding in far Southeast Texas including Beaumont. This major flooding will continue through the night in place like Beaumont, but we should start to see precipitation rates decrease once the center of Harvey moves inland during the morning hours Wednesday.

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David Reimer

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