The weather across the state over the weekend will be rather benign with warm highs and only a few chances for rainfall. Highs will be close to average for this time of the year and humidity levels will stay on the low side for all but coastal and eastern Texas. Meteorological Fall began yesterday which means we are entering that time of the year when we begin to see cold fronts arriving at increasing frequency as we head through September and into October. On Tuesday, our first good front of the season is expected to arrive and we’ll see temps a good 5-10 degrees below normal and much drier air for a few days after its passage.
For today, we’ll have a few chances for spotty showers across northern and northwest Texas this morning with additional chances for pop-up showers and perhaps a couple of thunderstorms as we head into the afternoon and evening hours. Most of the daytime activity is expected to reman along and north of the I-20 corridor but will shift to the south as we head into the overnight hours. We don’t really have sufficient moisture across the area for us to see development of stronger storms, but we could see a few of the storms this afternoon produce gusty outflow winds and maybe a few strikes of lightning. Highs will be in the 90s across most of the state with highs around 100 expected across parts of deep south Texas along the Rio Grande.
On Sunday, chances for isolated and scattered showers will situate across central Texas. Again, severe weather is not expected, but a few of the stronger cells that pop up could produce some gusty winds and lightning. Temps will once again be in the 90s for most with highest temps located across south Texas.
For Monday, Labor Day, wash rinse and repeat for the forecast highs but the rain chances will shift further south and along the coast. Unfortunately, any additional rainfall is not needed, but thankfully this is not expected to be a heavy or lengthy rainfall event.
Cold Front: A relatively strong cold front will begin to push through the state arriving in the panhandle region before dawn on Tuesday and pushing into northern Texas by Tuesday afternoon. Winds will be quite gusty with the passage of the front across the northern half of the state on Tuesday, so there will be no doubt when it has arrived. The front will move quickly through the state and should arrive along the coast and into south Texas by early Wednesday. We’ll see a chance for showers and a few thunderstorms along and behind the front Tuesday and Wednesday as well. Severe weather is not expected with the passage of the front. Once the front pushes through, high pressure will settle in and we’ll see much cooler temps for a few days. We could even see a few locations in the panhandle dip down into the 40s by Wednesday morning.